8
Beev's Blessing
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 58
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength74%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-23 | Finger Lakes | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-06-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-04-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-10-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 27/04/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 08/06/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 23/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 19/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |