Pandemic Hero
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 74
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-28 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-02-19 | Aqueduct | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-10-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 14/09/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 17/10/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 28/10/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 19/02/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 21/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |