9
Reside
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 57
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-08-07 | Saratoga | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Saratoga | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength0%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 26/02/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 03/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 75% | +0.17 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 20/06/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 22% | -0.36 |
| 17/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 07/08/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |