Ride Share
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 58
Finger Lakes · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-06-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-11 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 18/11/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 27/04/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 11/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 02/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 22/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 21/07/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 11/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |