10

Fuhgeddaboudit

7yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 70

Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f

#10

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength29%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Laurel Park 12/04/2024 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 87 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/04/2024 · OR 87 par12/04C6OR 87C6 @ Laurel Park 28/04/2024 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 88 · 5f110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/04/2024 · OR 88 parC6 @ Pimlico 16/05/2024 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 88 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/05/2024 · OR 88 par16/05C6OR 88C6 @ Laurel Park 28/06/2024 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 88 · 5f110y Fm 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/06/2024 · OR 88 parC6 @ Laurel Park 20/07/2024 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 87 · 6f Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/07/2024 · OR 87 par20/07C6OR 87C6 @ Colonial Downs 13/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 84 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/03/2025 · OR 84 parC8 @ Aqueduct 11/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 82 · 6f110y Fas 124 · below its mark11/04/2025 · OR 82 par11/04C8OR 82C6 @ Delaware Park 24/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 82 · 5f110y Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/05/2025 · OR 82 parC8 @ Delaware Park 23/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 70 · 6f 122 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 70 par23/07C8OR 70projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Delaware Park?5th6th1
2025-05-24Delaware Park?5th4th+1
2025-04-11Aqueduct?4th5th1
2025-03-13Colonial Downs?4th3rd+1
2024-07-20Laurel Park?7th6th+1
2024-06-28Laurel Park?5th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0428/0611/0423/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength11%

Delivery trend -0.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/04/20242nd3/184%83%-0.01
28/04/20248th14/126%0%-0.26
16/05/20245th5/174%20%-0.54
28/06/20245th25/10%50%+0.50
20/07/20247th11/271%0%-0.71
13/03/20254th10/147%0%-0.47
11/04/20254th8/158%50%-0.08
24/05/20255th8/158%20%-0.38
23/07/20265th12/137%33%-0.04