8

Inouaintalkintome

8yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 78

Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength50%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Finger Lakes 30/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 88 · 6f 122 · below its mark30/09/2025 · OR 88 par30/09C7OR 88C5 @ Finger Lakes 13/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 88 · 1m110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/10/2025 · OR 88 parC7 @ Finger Lakes 04/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 86 · 1m Fas 120 · below its mark04/11/2025 · OR 86 par4/11C7OR 86C6 @ Finger Lakes 19/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 81 · 1m 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/11/2025 · OR 81 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 01/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 75 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 75 par1/06C8OR 75C6 @ Finger Lakes 22/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 77 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/06/2026 · OR 77 parC6 @ Finger Lakes 07/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 80 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/07/2026 · OR 80 par7/07C6OR 80C8 @ Finger Lakes 05/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 80 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark05/08/2026 · OR 80 parC8 @ Finger Lakes 25/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 81 · 6f 122 · below its mark25/08/2026 · OR 81 par25/08C8OR 81projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Finger Lakes?2nd3rd1
2026-08-05Finger Lakes?2nd3rd1
2026-07-07Finger Lakes?5th4th+1
2026-06-22Finger Lakes?2nd1st+1
2026-06-01Finger Lakes?2nd3rd1
2025-11-19Finger Lakes?5th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0919/117/0725/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength88%

Delivery trend +0.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/09/20252nd5/174%80%+0.06
13/10/20258th25/10%13%+0.13
04/11/20253rd2/189%67%-0.23
19/11/20255th20/10%20%+0.20
01/06/20262nd10/147%83%+0.36
22/06/20262nd11/271%75%+0.04
07/07/20265th20/10%20%+0.20
05/08/20262nd11/271%83%+0.12
25/08/20262nd7/282%83%+0.02