2
Miss Stones
6yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 62
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-11-26 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2025 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 0% | -0.89 |
| 05/09/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 14/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 26/11/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 26/12/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 03/06/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 10/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 02/09/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |