Practical Rachel
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 66
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-21 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-03 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-11-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 14/10/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 28/10/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 10/11/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 19/11/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |