1
She's A Freud
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 70
Finger Lakes · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-04 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-06 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-04-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-10-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength52%
Delivery trend +5.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 22/07/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 17/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 29/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 27/04/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 16/06/2026 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 17% | -0.74 |
| 06/07/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 04/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 25/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |