12
Anmolo
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 54
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
19%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-22 | Finger Lakes | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength74%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/09/2025 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 20/10/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 22/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 80% | -0.15 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 10/08/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 19/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 02/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |