2
Army Proud
4yo Colt · 8-12 · OR 58
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Finger Lakes | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-03-20 | Aqueduct | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 31/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 05/02/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 78% | -0.01 |
| 20/03/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 29/06/2026 | 7th | 15/8 | 90% | 14% | -0.76 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 27/07/2026 | 8th | 9/4 | 88% | 13% | -0.76 |
| 10/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |