6
Cruising Cat
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 46
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
42%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Finger Lakes | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-06-30 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Finger Lakes | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-06 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 11th | 9th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -15.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 30/06/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 12/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/09/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |