1
Eight Sunset Drive
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 49
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Finger Lakes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-24 | Finger Lakes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength28%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 01/10/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 15/10/2025 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 28/10/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 10/11/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 24/11/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/07/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/08/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 02/09/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |