7
I'm Mischievous
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 62
Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Finger Lakes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -7.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 10/12/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 02/01/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 55% | +0.02 |
| 21/01/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 20/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 04/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 18/03/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 26/04/2026 | 6th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |
| 19/08/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 17% | -0.68 |