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9

Liv Has Rizz

3yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 56

Finger Lakes · Race 8 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

16%

Place Prob

16%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 11/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 5f110y 11911/02C9C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 28/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 56 · 1m39y Gd 119 · below its mark28/02/2026 · OR 56 par28/02C9OR 56C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 15/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 61 · 1m39y 119 · below its mark15/03/2026 · OR 61 par15/03C9OR 61C9 @ Finger Lakes 24/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 51 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 51 par24/08C9OR 51projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Finger Lakes?1st2nd−1
2026-03-15Tampa Bay Downs?7th8th−1
2026-02-28Tampa Bay Downs?5th6th−1
2026-02-11Tampa Bay Downs?7th8th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0228/0215/0324/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength69%

Delivery trend +11.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/02/20267th6/168%25%-0.43
28/02/20265th33/10%56%+0.56
15/03/20267th16/116%0%-0.16
24/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18