3
Beauty Gemini
4yo Gelding · 9-4
Happy Valley · Hoi Mei Handicap · 5f
#13
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 11.7 /10 (raw 11.7)
Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA40 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Sha Tin | BHA46 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Sha Tin | BHA50 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-01-25 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength85%
Delivery trend +16.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2026 | 14th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 25/01/2026 | 12th | 80/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 26/04/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 20/05/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/07/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 06/09/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |