6
Iconical
6yo Gelding · 9-2
Happy Valley · Hoi Mei Handicap · 5f
#11
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Sha Tin | BHA40 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-01-07 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength27%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 28/06/2025 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |
| 26/11/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 17/12/2025 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 07/01/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 18% | +0.02 |
| 04/02/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 25/02/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 82% | +0.45 |
| 11/03/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 55% | +0.12 |
| 06/04/2026 | 13th | 12/1 | 37% | 8% | -0.29 |