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9

Runjeet

5yo Gelding · 8-12

Happy Valley · Hoi Mei Handicap · 5f

#10

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 8.5)

Highest class: BHA33
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA50 @ Sha Tin 18/05/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 50 · 6f GF 124 · beat its mark18/05/2025 · OR 50 par18/0550OR 50C0 @ Happy Valley 15/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f GF 122BHA45 @ Sha Tin 08/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 45 · 6f Gd 124 · beat its mark08/02/2026 · OR 45 par8/0245OR 45C0 @ Sha Tin 22/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 6f Gd 120BHA41 @ Sha Tin 29/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 41 · 6f Gd 119 · beat its mark29/03/2026 · OR 41 par29/0341OR 41BHA39 @ Sha Tin 19/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 39 · 6f Gd 135 · beat its mark19/04/2026 · OR 39 par5 @ Happy Valley 03/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 6f GF 1323/065BHA37 @ Sha Tin 27/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 37 · 6f Gd 132 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 37 parBHA33 @ Sha Tin 06/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 33 · 6f Gd 127 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 33 par6/0933OR 33projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Sha TinBHA334th4th0
2026-06-27Sha TinBHA379th9th0
2026-06-03Happy Valley54th4th0
2026-04-19Sha TinBHA3912th12th0
2026-03-29Sha TinBHA417th7th0
2026-02-22Sha Tin?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0522/023/066/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/05/202511th20/10%9%+0.09
15/10/202510th18/15%18%+0.13
08/02/202610th50/10%18%+0.18
22/02/20269th50/10%38%+0.38
29/03/20267th33/10%54%+0.54
19/04/202612th22/10%0%0.00
03/06/20264th13/266%73%+0.07
27/06/20269th20/10%38%+0.38
06/09/20264th50/10%77%+0.77