10
Smart City
7yo Gelding · 8-11
Happy Valley · Hoi Mei Handicap · 5f
#12
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: BHA45
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Sha Tin | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -14.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/01/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.67 |
| 04/02/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.66 |
| 04/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 18/03/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 82% | +0.77 |
| 15/04/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 55% | -0.01 |
| 29/04/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 18% | +0.02 |
| 06/05/2026 | 14th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 10/06/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 45% | -0.07 |
| 24/06/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 18% | -0.45 |