IvyArcIvyArc
1

Topspin King

4yo Gelding · 9-6

Happy Valley · Hoi Mei Handicap · 5f

#14

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.6 /10 (raw 10.6)

Highest class: BHA46
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Happy Valley 25/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 12725/02C?C0 @ Happy Valley 11/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 12711/03C?C0 @ Happy Valley 22/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 5f Gd 12522/04C?C0 @ Sha Tin 06/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 6f Slo 1236/05C?BHA46 @ Sha Tin 13/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 46 · 6f Std 121 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 46 par13/0646OR 46projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-13Sha TinBHA4612th12th0
2026-05-06Sha Tin?9th9th0
2026-04-22Happy Valley?10th10th0
2026-03-11Happy Valley?11th11th0
2026-02-25Happy Valley?11th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0211/0322/046/0513/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 10-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength13%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/02/202611th22/10%9%+0.09
11/03/202611th33/10%9%+0.09
22/04/202610th80/10%18%+0.18
06/05/20269th66/10%27%+0.27
13/06/202612th66/10%0%0.00