8

Dan Attack

8yo Gelding · 8-13

Happy Valley · Lido Handicap · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

16/5

Win Prob

40%

Place Prob

42%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength45%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: BHA41
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Happy Valley 16/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 6f GF 13116/07C?C0 @ Happy Valley 10/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 130C0 @ Happy Valley 08/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 1198/10C?C0 @ Happy Valley 02/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 6f Gd 117C0 @ Happy Valley 26/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 6f GF 12326/11C?C0 @ Happy Valley 14/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 126C0 @ Happy Valley 25/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 12525/02C?C0 @ Happy Valley 25/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 6f Gd 125C0 @ Happy Valley 27/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 6f 12527/05C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-27Happy Valley?2nd2nd0
2026-03-25Happy Valley?4th4th0
2026-02-25Happy Valley?5th5th0
2026-01-14Happy Valley?2nd2nd0
2025-11-26Happy Valley?3rd3rd0
2025-11-02Happy Valley?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/072/1125/0227/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength79%

Delivery trend -2.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/07/20253rd9/276%82%+0.06
10/09/20251st15/890%100%+0.10
08/10/20254th12/137%73%+0.36
02/11/20251st13/266%100%+0.34
26/11/20253rd6/168%82%+0.13
14/01/20262nd11/486%91%+0.05
25/02/20265th6/492%64%-0.28
25/03/20264th6/168%70%+0.02
27/05/20262nd7/282%91%+0.09