4
Grit Spirit
5yo Gelding · 9-5
Happy Valley · Lido Handicap · 6f
#14
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 11.8 /10 (raw 11.8)
Highest class: BHA60
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Sha Tin | BHA60 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Sha Tin | BHA64 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Sha Tin | BHA64 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength18%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/04/2026 | 12th | 150/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 20/05/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 27/06/2026 | 14th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |