6
Kansas
3yo Gelding · 9-3
Happy Valley · Lido Handicap · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 11.2 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA56 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Sha Tin | BHA66 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA69 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA71 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength26%
Delivery trend +3.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10/2025 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 73% | -0.19 |
| 06/04/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 22/04/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 09/05/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/05/2026 | 12th | 150/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 31/05/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 10/06/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 01/07/2026 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 06/09/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |