9
Very Grateful
5yo Gelding · 8-13
Happy Valley · Lido Handicap · 6f
#13
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength18%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 73% | +0.31 |
| 09/07/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 55% | -0.06 |
| 08/10/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 01/01/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 25/02/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 18/03/2026 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 18% | -0.50 |
| 29/04/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 15/07/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 9% | -0.38 |