6
Rosewood Fleetfoot
6yo Gelding · 8-11
Happy Valley · Big Wave Bay Handicap · 1m 1f
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: BHA30
Recent avg: C3.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA30 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Sha Tin | BHA32 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 15/11/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 54% | -0.09 |
| 03/12/2025 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 18% | +0.13 |
| 04/03/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 25/03/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 64% | +0.48 |
| 19/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 92% | +0.21 |
| 27/05/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 24/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |