7

A Time For Us

5yo Gelding · 9-0

Happy Valley · The Community Chest Cup (Handicap) · 6f

#11

Rank

Odds

SP

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength18%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class: BHA54
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Sha Tin 01/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 6f Gd 1201/01C?BHA64 @ Sha Tin 25/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 64 · 6f GF 121 · below its mark25/01/2026 · OR 64 parBHA62 @ Sha Tin 14/02/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 62 · 1m GF 119 · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 62 par14/0262OR 62C0 @ Happy Valley 25/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 135C0 @ Happy Valley 08/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 1358/04C?BHA58 @ Sha Tin 26/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 58 · 6f Gd 132 · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 58 parBHA56 @ Sha Tin 17/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 56 · 6f Goo 131 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 56 par17/0556OR 56BHA54 @ Sha Tin 31/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 54 · 6f Gd 130 · beat its mark31/05/2026 · OR 54 parBHA54 @ Sha Tin 04/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 54 · 6f Gd 130 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 54 par4/0754OR 54projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Sha TinBHA5410th10th0
2026-05-31Sha TinBHA543rd3rd0
2026-05-17Sha TinBHA568th8th0
2026-04-26Sha TinBHA587th7th0
2026-04-08Happy Valley?9th9th0
2026-03-25Happy Valley?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0125/0317/054/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength46%

Delivery trend -3.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/01/20268th9/153%46%-0.06
25/01/20268th33/10%46%+0.46
14/02/202613th66/10%8%+0.08
25/03/20263rd20/10%82%+0.82
08/04/20269th25/10%27%+0.27
26/04/20267th25/10%54%+0.54
17/05/20268th25/10%36%+0.36
31/05/20263rd11/142%85%+0.43
04/07/202610th5/174%10%-0.64