9
Everstar
6yo Gelding · 8-10
Happy Valley · The Community Chest Cup (Handicap) · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 8.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Sha Tin | BHA56 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Sha Tin | BHA58 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Sha Tin | BHA60 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 9-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength17%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/01/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 11/02/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 04/03/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/03/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 06/04/2026 | 13th | 150/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 19/04/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 29/04/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |
| 20/05/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.01 |
| 03/06/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |