13
Joker Orbit
4yo Gelding · 9-2
Happy Valley · The Community Chest Cup (Handicap) · 6f
#14
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 8.8)
Highest class: BHA65
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Sha Tin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Sha Tin | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Sha Tin | BHA65 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength40%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 27/12/2025 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 11/02/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 19/02/2026 | 7th | 125/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 11/03/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 08/04/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |