11
Kwai Chung Talents
4yo Gelding · 8-6
Happy Valley · The Community Chest Cup (Handicap) · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2026 | 14th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/02/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 25/03/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 22/04/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 82% | +0.77 |
| 24/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 82% | +0.29 |