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10

Lightness Of Being

5yo Gelding · 8-8

Happy Valley · The Community Chest Cup (Handicap) · 6f

#12

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.5 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class: BHA50
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA64 @ Sha Tin 09/03/2025 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 64 · 7f GF 123 · below its mark09/03/2025 · OR 64 par9/0364OR 64C0 @ Happy Valley 23/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 119BHA64 @ Sha Tin 01/02/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 64 · 1m Gd 117 · below its mark01/02/2026 · OR 64 par1/0264OR 64C0 @ Sha Tin 19/02/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 7f Gd 119C0 @ Sha Tin 08/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 6f Std 1158/03C?BHA58 @ Sha Tin 22/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 58 · 6f Gd 133 · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 58 parBHA55 @ Sha Tin 12/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 55 · 7f Gd 130 · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 55 par12/0455OR 55BHA52 @ Sha Tin 03/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 52 · 6f Gd 130 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 52 parBHA50 @ Sha Tin 17/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 50 · 6f Goo 125 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 50 par17/0550OR 50projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-17Sha TinBHA509th9th0
2026-05-03Sha TinBHA527th7th0
2026-04-12Sha TinBHA5512th12th0
2026-03-22Sha TinBHA5812th12th0
2026-03-08Sha Tin?11th11th0
2026-02-19Sha Tin?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0319/0212/0417/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength41%

Delivery trend +5.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/03/202514th66/10%0%0.00
23/12/202511th14/126%9%-0.17
01/02/202613th80/10%8%+0.08
19/02/202612th100/10%8%+0.08
08/03/202611th100/10%9%+0.09
22/03/202612th125/10%8%+0.08
12/04/202612th100/10%15%+0.15
03/05/20267th66/10%54%+0.54
17/05/20269th50/10%27%+0.27