2
Somelovefromabove
5yo Gelding · 9-9
Happy Valley · The Community Chest Cup (Handicap) · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
20%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: BHA44
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength28%
Delivery trend -8.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 17/12/2025 | 11th | 6/1 | 68% | 9% | -0.59 |
| 27/12/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 14/01/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 18% | -0.08 |
| 04/02/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 11/03/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 15/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 82% | -0.10 |
| 13/05/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 27% | -0.52 |
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 64% | -0.27 |