6

Victor The Rapid

6yo Gelding · 9-1

Happy Valley · The Community Chest Cup (Handicap) · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

SP

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Happy Valley 04/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 1334/02C?C0 @ Happy Valley 25/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 135C0 @ Happy Valley 11/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 13511/03C?C0 @ Happy Valley 25/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 135BHA60 @ Sha Tin 12/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 60 · 6f Gd 135 · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 60 par12/0460OR 60BHA60 @ Sha Tin 24/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR 60 · 7f Gd 116 · beat its mark24/05/2026 · OR 60 par4 @ Happy Valley 10/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 13510/064C0 @ Happy Valley 24/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 132C0 @ Happy Valley 08/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 1328/07C?projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-08Happy Valley?9th9th0
2026-06-24Happy Valley?8th8th0
2026-06-10Happy Valley410th10th0
2026-05-24Sha TinBHA6010th10th0
2026-04-12Sha TinBHA606th6th0
2026-03-25Happy Valley?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0225/0310/068/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength32%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/02/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
25/02/20263rd4/179%82%+0.03
11/03/20262nd13/266%91%+0.25
25/03/20264th8/158%73%+0.15
12/04/20266th28/10%55%+0.55
24/05/202610th28/10%25%+0.25
10/06/202610th40/10%18%+0.18
24/06/20268th40/10%36%+0.36
08/07/20269th50/10%27%+0.27