6

Victor The Rapid
6yo Gelding · 9-1
Happy Valley · The Community Chest Cup (Handicap) · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Sha Tin | BHA60 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA60 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength32%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 25/02/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |
| 11/03/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 91% | +0.25 |
| 25/03/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 73% | +0.15 |
| 12/04/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 24/05/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 10/06/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 24/06/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 08/07/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |