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5

Elegant Life

6yo Gelding · 9-5

Happy Valley · Lido Handicap · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA43 @ Sha Tin 12/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 43 · 6f Gd 119 · beat its mark12/10/2025 · OR 43 par12/1043OR 43BHA43 @ Sha Tin 25/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 43 · 6f GF 118 · beat its mark25/01/2026 · OR 43 parBHA41 @ Sha Tin 08/02/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 41 · 6f Gd 120 · beat its mark08/02/2026 · OR 41 par8/0241OR 41C0 @ Happy Valley 11/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 5f Gd 135BHA47 @ Sha Tin 22/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 47 · 6f GF 122 · beat its mark22/03/2026 · OR 47 par22/0347OR 47C0 @ Happy Valley 08/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 5f Gd 122C0 @ Happy Valley 27/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 6f 12227/05C?4 @ Happy Valley 10/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 131BHA56 @ Sha Tin 27/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR 56 · 6f Gd 132 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 56 par27/0656OR 56projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-27Sha TinBHA5610th10th0
2026-06-10Happy Valley43rd3rd0
2026-05-27Happy Valley?1st1st0
2026-04-08Happy Valley?7th7th0
2026-03-22Sha TinBHA473rd3rd0
2026-03-11Happy Valley?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/1011/0327/0527/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -2.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/10/202512th5/174%0%-0.74
25/01/20264th18/15%77%+0.72
08/02/202612th22/10%0%0.00
11/03/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
22/03/20263rd12/137%85%+0.48
08/04/20267th5/493%45%-0.48
27/05/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
10/06/20263rd2/189%82%-0.08
27/06/202610th7/163%31%-0.32