1
Gratifide
5yo Gelding · 9-9
Happy Valley · Lido Handicap · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
28%
Place Prob
29%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class: BHA58
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA58 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Sha Tin | BHA64 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength91%
Delivery trend +4.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 11/01/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 18/03/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 15/04/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/05/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 15/07/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |