8
Grouper
4yo Gelding · 9-0
Happy Valley · Lido Handicap · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Sha Tin | BHA53 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 91% | +0.38 |
| 24/05/2026 | 8th | 7/4 | 91% | 46% | -0.45 |
| 10/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.00 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/8 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 06/09/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 62% | -0.02 |