9

Star Of Hearts

4yo Gelding · 9-0

Happy Valley · Lido Handicap · 6f

#13

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA52 @ Sha Tin 13/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 52 · 6f Yie 128 · beat its mark13/06/2026 · OR 52 par13/0652OR 52
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-13Sha TinBHA525th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength32%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/06/20265th80/10%64%+0.64