6

Call Me Topseed

5yo Gelding · 8-9

Happy Valley · Chung Hom Kok Handicap · 1m

#13

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 8.8)

Highest class: BHA75
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA75 @ Sha Tin 22/06/2025 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 75 · 1m Gd 131 · below its mark22/06/2025 · OR 75 par22/0675OR 75BHA75 @ Sha Tin 13/07/2025 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 75 · 1m Gd 126 · below its mark13/07/2025 · OR 75 par13/0775OR 75C0 @ Happy Valley 08/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m Gd 1288/10C?C0 @ Sha Tin 15/11/2025 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 1m Std 12915/11C?C0 @ Happy Valley 17/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m Gd 12617/12C?C0 @ Happy Valley 15/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m Goo 12715/07C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-15Happy Valley?2nd2nd0
2025-12-17Happy Valley?5th5th0
2025-11-15Sha Tin?14th14th0
2025-10-08Happy Valley?8th8th0
2025-07-13Sha TinBHA7513th13th0
2025-06-22Sha TinBHA7511th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0613/078/1015/1117/1215/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength82%

Delivery trend +9.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/06/202511th50/10%23%+0.23
13/07/202513th80/10%8%+0.08
08/10/20258th40/10%30%+0.30
15/11/202514th66/10%0%0.00
17/12/20255th33/10%64%+0.64
15/07/20262nd14/126%91%+0.65