6

Call Me Topseed
5yo Gelding · 8-9
Happy Valley · Chung Hom Kok Handicap · 1m
#13
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 8.8)
Highest class: BHA75
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Sha Tin | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-13 | Sha Tin | BHA75 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-06-22 | Sha Tin | BHA75 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength82%
Delivery trend +9.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 13/07/2025 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 08/10/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 15/11/2025 | 14th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/12/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 91% | +0.65 |