5
Highland Rahy
6yo Gelding · 8-11
Happy Valley · Chung Hom Kok Handicap · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: BHA53
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-28 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-19 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 10/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 90% | -0.06 |
| 15/10/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 45% | -0.28 |
| 19/11/2025 | 11th | 7/2 | 82% | 9% | -0.72 |
| 10/12/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 28/01/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 11/03/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 22/04/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 27/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 89% | +0.47 |