10
Hymnbook
4yo Colt · 8-5
Happy Valley · Chung Hom Kok Handicap · 1m
#10
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Sha Tin | BHA63 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA64 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA64 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Sha Tin | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Sha Tin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength85%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2025 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 06/09/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 26/09/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 19/02/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 08/03/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 12/04/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 09/05/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 62% | +0.04 |
| 01/07/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 85% | +0.48 |
| 12/07/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 46% | +0.41 |