3
Romantic Gladiator
3yo Gelding · 9-0
Happy Valley · Chung Hom Kok Handicap · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
96%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Sha Tin | BHA66 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength74%
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 25/07/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 04/03/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 29/03/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 08/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 24/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 90% | -0.04 |