14
Stormi
5yo Gelding · 8-6
Happy Valley · Chung Hom Kok Handicap · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/01/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 04/02/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 25/02/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/03/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 55% | -0.14 |
| 08/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 29/04/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.31 |
| 13/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 25% | -0.22 |
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 91% | +0.49 |
| 24/06/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |