11
Viva Graciousness
7yo Gelding · 8-5
Happy Valley · Chung Hom Kok Handicap · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength9%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 02/11/2025 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 9% | -0.28 |
| 10/12/2025 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/01/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 04/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 04/03/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 27% | -0.44 |
| 18/03/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 08/04/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 36% | -0.06 |
| 29/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |