7
Casa Of Honor
6yo Gelding · 8-11
Happy Valley · Repulse Bay Handicap · 5f
#11
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: BHA63
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Sha Tin | BHA63 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Sha Tin | BHA65 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Sha Tin | BHA67 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength19%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 85% | +0.79 |
| 15/11/2025 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 46% | -0.28 |
| 17/12/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 45% | -0.02 |
| 18/01/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 14/02/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 15/03/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/04/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 27/05/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 36% | -0.06 |
| 08/07/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |