4
Dancing Classics
6yo Gelding · 9-2
Happy Valley · Repulse Bay Handicap · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
16/5
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Happy Valley | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
Delivery trend +6.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/05/2025 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 08/06/2025 | 13th | 1/2 | 97% | 8% | -0.90 |
| 16/07/2025 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 45% | -0.39 |
| 01/10/2025 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 42% | -0.35 |
| 15/10/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 02/11/2025 | 12th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 03/06/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 36% | -0.40 |
| 01/07/2026 | 12th | 7/1 | 63% | 15% | -0.48 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |