6
Eternal Fortune
5yo Gelding · 8-13
Happy Valley · Repulse Bay Handicap · 5f
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Sha Tin | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-07 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-17 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-03 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 9-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 04/06/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 02/11/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 03/12/2025 | 5th | 1/1 | 95% | 64% | -0.31 |
| 17/12/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 07/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 82% | +0.06 |
| 04/02/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 90% | +0.85 |
| 22/02/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 11% | +0.06 |
| 08/07/2026 | 9th | 11/4 | 86% | 27% | -0.58 |