3
Horsepower
6yo Gelding · 9-7
Happy Valley · Repulse Bay Handicap · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: BHA65
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Sha Tin | BHA81 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-07 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength99%
Delivery trend +3.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 15/11/2025 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 8% | +0.02 |
| 07/12/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 77% | +0.61 |
| 07/01/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 55% | -0.28 |
| 08/02/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 25/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 90% | +0.16 |
| 22/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 27/05/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |
| 24/06/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |