10
Parents' Love
6yo Gelding · 8-6
Happy Valley · Repulse Bay Handicap · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA63 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA63 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Sha Tin | BHA57 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 9% | -0.38 |
| 04/02/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 14/02/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 18/03/2026 | 11th | 7/2 | 82% | 9% | -0.72 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 09/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 69% | +0.53 |
| 07/06/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 01/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |