11
Armor Golden Eagle
5yo Gelding · 8-5
Happy Valley · Shek O Handicap · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
88%
Place Prob
65%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Sha Tin | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.12 |
| 18/01/2026 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 22/02/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 31% | -0.06 |
| 08/03/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 18/03/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 15/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 29/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 27/05/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 03/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |