4
Helene Feeling
6yo Gelding · 9-3
Happy Valley · Shek O Handicap · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Sha Tin | BHA96 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 2 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sha Tin | BHA102 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Sha Tin | BHA103 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength42%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 23/12/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 14/01/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 82% | +0.16 |
| 04/02/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 22/03/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 13/05/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 03/06/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/07/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |