5
Huge Wave
7yo Gelding · 9-3
Happy Valley · Shek O Handicap · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C9.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Sha Tin | BHA95 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-23 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength43%
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 01/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 12/11/2025 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 10/12/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 36% | -0.00 |
| 23/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 82% | +0.06 |
| 14/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 91% | +0.17 |
| 04/02/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 25/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 12/07/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |